Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000087 0.000097 0.000107 0.000118 0.000131 0.000144 0.000160
2026-01-11 0.000073 0.000086 0.000100 0.000117 0.000138 0.000161 0.000190
2026-01-18 0.000063 0.000077 0.000095 0.000117 0.000144 0.000177 0.000220
2026-01-25 0.000055 0.000070 0.000090 0.000116 0.000149 0.000192 0.000250
2026-02-01 0.000049 0.000065 0.000086 0.000115 0.000155 0.000207 0.000282
2026-02-08 0.000043 0.000060 0.000082 0.000114 0.000159 0.000220 0.000310
2026-02-15 0.000039 0.000056 0.000079 0.000113 0.000163 0.000233 0.000342
2026-02-22 0.000036 0.000053 0.000077 0.000113 0.000168 0.000249 0.000377
2026-03-01 0.000033 0.000050 0.000074 0.000112 0.000171 0.000261 0.000407
2026-03-08 0.000031 0.000047 0.000073 0.000113 0.000178 0.000278 0.000448
2026-03-15 0.000029 0.000045 0.000071 0.000113 0.000183 0.000293 0.000486
2026-03-22 0.000027 0.000043 0.000069 0.000112 0.000186 0.000306 0.000520
2026-03-29 0.000025 0.000042 0.000068 0.000114 0.000193 0.000326 0.000571
2026-04-05 0.000024 0.000040 0.000066 0.000114 0.000198 0.000344 0.000618
2026-04-12 0.000022 0.000038 0.000065 0.000114 0.000202 0.000359 0.000663
2026-04-19 0.000021 0.000036 0.000063 0.000113 0.000206 0.000374 0.000707
2026-04-26 0.000019 0.000035 0.000062 0.000113 0.000210 0.000391 0.000758
2026-05-03 0.000018 0.000033 0.000060 0.000112 0.000212 0.000402 0.000799
2026-05-10 0.000017 0.000032 0.000058 0.000111 0.000215 0.000417 0.000848
2026-05-17 0.000016 0.000031 0.000057 0.000111 0.000220 0.000434 0.000904
2026-05-24 0.000015 0.000029 0.000056 0.000110 0.000221 0.000447 0.000951
2026-05-31 0.000015 0.000028 0.000055 0.000111 0.000228 0.000469 0.001021
2026-06-07 0.000014 0.000028 0.000054 0.000111 0.000233 0.000488 0.001085